Early Downs College › Week 9

Oklahoma State at Iowa State: Week 9 recap

• Iowa State beat Oklahoma State 51–49 in Week 9.
• Misleading final: Iowa State won by 2, but Oklahoma State outplayed them. Iowa State played like a team that loses by about 3 (35% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for Iowa State: 35%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Oklahoma State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.38 EPA per play, 55% success rate.
• Iowa State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.39 EPA per play, 45% success rate.