Early Downs College › Week 7

Cincinnati at West Virginia: Week 7 recap

• West Virginia beat Cincinnati 45–42 in Week 7.
• Misleading final: West Virginia won by 3, but Cincinnati outplayed them. West Virginia played like a team that loses by about 9 (12% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for West Virginia: 12%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Cincinnati offense (garbage time excluded): +0.58 EPA per play, 54% success rate.
• West Virginia offense (garbage time excluded): +0.42 EPA per play, 46% success rate.