Early Downs College › Week 6

Boise State at Fresno State: Week 6 recap

• Boise State beat Fresno State 38–31 in Week 6.
• Misleading final: Boise State won by 7, but Fresno State outplayed them. Boise State played like a team that loses by about 6 (19% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for Boise State: 19%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Boise State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.40 EPA per play, 47% success rate.
• Fresno State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.36 EPA per play, 49% success rate.