Early Downs College › Week 5

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech: Week 5 recap

• Pittsburgh beat Virginia Tech 35–33 in Week 5.
• Misleading final: Pittsburgh won by 2, but Virginia Tech outplayed them. Pittsburgh played like a team that loses by about 9 (12% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for Pittsburgh: 12%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Pittsburgh offense (garbage time excluded): +0.08 EPA per play, 29% success rate.
• Virginia Tech offense (garbage time excluded): +0.12 EPA per play, 40% success rate.