Early Downs College › Week 5

Louisville at NC State: Week 5 recap

• NC State beat Louisville 31–28 in Week 5.
• Misleading final: NC State won by 3, but Louisville outplayed them. NC State played like a team that loses by about 9 (11% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for NC State: 11%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Louisville offense (garbage time excluded): +0.23 EPA per play, 48% success rate.
• NC State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.26 EPA per play, 40% success rate.