Early Downs College › Week 3

Marshall at Missouri State: Week 3 recap

• Marshall beat Missouri State 30–24 in Week 3.
• Misleading final: Marshall won by 6, but Missouri State outplayed them. Marshall played like a team that loses by about 6 (22% postgame win expectancy).
• Postgame win expectancy for Marshall: 22%, a win the per-play numbers didn't support.
• Marshall offense (garbage time excluded): +0.34 EPA per play, 51% success rate.
• Missouri State offense (garbage time excluded): +0.39 EPA per play, 56% success rate.