Early Downs College › Week 13

UTEP at Northern Illinois: Week 13 preview

• UTEP (1-7) visits Northern Illinois (0-8) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: UTEP -24.5 (134th), Northern Illinois -25.4 (136th). SP+ projects Northern Illinois by 1.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UTEP offense ranks 137th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.14); the Northern Illinois defense ranks 137th (+0.39 allowed). Biggest UTEP edges: second-level yards per carry, rushing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Northern Illinois defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• The Northern Illinois offense ranks 113th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the UTEP defense ranks 132nd (+0.29 allowed). Biggest Northern Illinois edges: line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UTEP +4.6 (44th toughest), Northern Illinois −0.1 (74th toughest).