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Louisiana at Georgia State: Week 13 preview

• Louisiana (5-3) visits Georgia State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Louisiana 0.4 (68th), Georgia State -9.2 (105th). SP+ projects Louisiana by 7.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Louisiana offense ranks 84th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.08); the Georgia State defense ranks 68th (+0.11 allowed). Biggest Louisiana edges: power success rate, second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush. The Georgia State defense holds the edge in sack rate, passing-downs success rate, EPA per pass.
• The Georgia State offense ranks 47th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Louisiana defense ranks 20th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Georgia State edges: second-level yards per carry, sack rate, rushing success rate. The Louisiana defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Louisiana −8.2 (129th toughest), Georgia State −8.0 (127th toughest).