Early Downs College › Week 13

Toledo at Ohio: Week 13 preview

• Toledo (7-2) visits Ohio (7-2) on Fri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Toledo 2.0 (64th), Ohio -1.5 (78th). SP+ projects Toledo by 1.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Toledo offense ranks 37th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.18); the Ohio defense ranks 61st (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Toledo edges: passing success rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry. The Ohio defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• The Ohio offense ranks 36th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Toledo defense ranks 19th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Ohio edges: rushing explosiveness. The Toledo defense holds the edge in sack rate, power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Toledo −12.2 (137th toughest), Ohio −13.2 (138th toughest).