TCU at No. 15 Texas Tech: Week 13 preview

TCU (4-4) visits No. 15 Texas Tech (7-1) on Thu, Nov 26 · 8:00 PM ET. The line is Texas Tech −16.5 with a total of 55.5.
SP+ power ratings: TCU 8.6 (41st), Texas Tech 18.4 (9th). SP+ projects Texas Tech by 12.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The TCU offense ranks 108th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.02); the Texas Tech defense ranks 22nd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest TCU edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Texas Tech defense holds the edge in EPA per rush, rushing success rate, line yards per carry.
The Texas Tech offense ranks 58th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the TCU defense ranks 6th (−0.07 allowed). The TCU defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness, EPA per play.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): TCU +4.2 (48th toughest), Texas Tech +3.2 (55th toughest).