Early Downs College › Week 13

Penn State at Maryland: Week 13 preview

• Penn State (4-4) visits Maryland (2-6) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Penn State 9.3 (36th), Maryland -2.1 (81st). SP+ projects Penn State by 8.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Penn State offense ranks 57th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Maryland defense ranks 119th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest Penn State edges: power success rate, passing success rate, passing-downs success rate. The Maryland defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
• The Maryland offense ranks 111th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Penn State defense ranks 48th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Maryland edges: rushing explosiveness, sack rate, explosiveness. The Penn State defense holds the edge in EPA per pass, stuff rate, passing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Penn State +2.2 (60th toughest), Maryland +10.0 (11th toughest).