Early Downs College › Week 13

Pittsburgh at California: Week 13 preview

• Pittsburgh (6-3) visits California (3-6) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Pittsburgh 7.9 (44th), California -8.2 (101st). SP+ projects Pittsburgh by 13.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Pittsburgh offense ranks 77th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.10); the California defense ranks 109th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Pittsburgh edges: power success rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry. The California defense holds the edge in passing success rate, passing-downs success rate.
• The California offense ranks 132nd in FBS in EPA per play (−0.09); the Pittsburgh defense ranks 31st (+0.03 allowed). Biggest California edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Pittsburgh defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, stuff rate, EPA per rush.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Pittsburgh +4.0 (49th toughest), California +6.0 (35th toughest).