Early Downs College › Week 13

Nevada at UNLV: Week 13 preview

• Nevada (3-5) visits UNLV (5-3) on Sat, Nov 28 · 9:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Nevada -3.1 (89th), UNLV -2.2 (82nd). SP+ projects UNLV by 3.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Nevada offense ranks 97th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the UNLV defense ranks 56th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Nevada edges: passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate. The UNLV defense holds the edge in passing success rate, EPA per pass, standard-downs success rate.
• The UNLV offense ranks 65th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Nevada defense ranks 58th (+0.09 allowed). Biggest UNLV edges: stuff rate, passing explosiveness, line yards per carry. The Nevada defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, success rate, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Nevada −5.8 (109th toughest), UNLV −6.8 (119th toughest).