Early Downs College › Week 13

NC State at North Carolina: Week 13 preview

• NC State (4-4) visits North Carolina (4-4) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD. The line is NC State −1.5 with a total of 55.5.
• SP+ power ratings: NC State -0.9 (74th), North Carolina 3.7 (58th). SP+ projects North Carolina by 7.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The NC State offense ranks 53rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the North Carolina defense ranks 66th (+0.11 allowed). Biggest NC State edges: stuff rate, power success rate, standard-downs success rate. The North Carolina defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, rushing explosiveness, explosiveness.
• The North Carolina offense ranks 76th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.10); the NC State defense ranks 114th (+0.20 allowed). Biggest North Carolina edges: passing success rate, EPA per pass, success rate. The NC State defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): NC State +0.7 (67th toughest), North Carolina +10.7 (8th toughest).