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Michigan State at Rutgers: Week 13 preview

• Michigan State (2-6) visits Rutgers (2-6) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Michigan State -3.0 (88th), Rutgers -4.9 (95th). SP+ projects Rutgers by 0.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Michigan State offense ranks 126th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Rutgers defense ranks 135th (+0.31 allowed). Biggest Michigan State edges: passing success rate, passing-downs success rate, success rate. The Rutgers defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
• The Rutgers offense ranks 94th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Michigan State defense ranks 100th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest Rutgers edges: passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate, explosiveness. The Michigan State defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Michigan State +8.9 (15th toughest), Rutgers +7.0 (29th toughest).