Michigan at No. 12 Ohio State: Week 13 preview

Michigan (5-3) visits No. 12 Ohio State (6-2) on Sat, Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Ohio State −13.5 with a total of 46.5.
SP+ power ratings: Michigan 11.5 (27th), Ohio State 28.6 (1st). SP+ projects Ohio State by 19.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Michigan offense ranks 83rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.08); the Ohio State defense ranks 15th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Michigan edges: passing-downs success rate. The Ohio State defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry.
The Ohio State offense ranks 16th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the Michigan defense ranks 4th (−0.08 allowed). Biggest Ohio State edges: passing explosiveness. The Michigan defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, power success rate, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Michigan +3.5 (53rd toughest), Ohio State +4.3 (47th toughest).