Kansas State at Iowa State: Week 13 preview

Kansas State (4-4) visits Iowa State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Kansas State 8.8 (39th), Iowa State -1.2 (76th). SP+ projects Kansas State by 7.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Kansas State offense ranks 55th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Iowa State defense ranks 121st (+0.22 allowed). Biggest Kansas State edges: sack rate, rushing success rate, standard-downs success rate. The Iowa State defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
The Iowa State offense ranks 64th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.12); the Kansas State defense ranks 108th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Iowa State edges: rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, second-level yards per carry. The Kansas State defense holds the edge in power success rate, standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Kansas State −0.2 (75th toughest), Iowa State +8.2 (20th toughest).