Early Downs College › Week 13

Florida Atlantic at East Carolina: Week 13 preview

• Florida Atlantic (5-3) visits East Carolina (4-4) on Fri, Nov 27 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Florida Atlantic -3.4 (90th), East Carolina -4.0 (91st). SP+ projects East Carolina by 1.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Florida Atlantic offense ranks 32nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the East Carolina defense ranks 41st (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Florida Atlantic edges: passing-downs success rate, sack rate, rushing explosiveness. The East Carolina defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, stuff rate, power success rate.
• The East Carolina offense ranks 119th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the Florida Atlantic defense ranks 127th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest East Carolina edges: rushing explosiveness, passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Florida Atlantic −5.3 (104th toughest), East Carolina −3.4 (93rd toughest).