Early Downs College › Week 13

Duke at No. 16 Wake Forest: Week 13 preview

• Duke (6-2) visits No. 16 Wake Forest (7-1) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Duke 6.8 (47th), Wake Forest 12.2 (25th). SP+ projects Wake Forest by 7.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Duke offense ranks 26th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.21); the Wake Forest defense ranks 40th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Duke edges: sack rate, passing success rate. The Wake Forest defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, line yards per carry, power success rate.
• The Wake Forest offense ranks 2nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.37); the Duke defense ranks 27th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Wake Forest edges: standard-downs success rate, passing success rate, stuff rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Duke −0.8 (78th toughest), Wake Forest −0.3 (76th toughest).