Early Downs College › Week 13

Central Michigan at Ball State: Week 13 preview

• Central Michigan (4-5) visits Ball State (3-6) on Sat, Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Central Michigan -16.7 (127th), Ball State -20.1 (131st). SP+ projects Central Michigan by 0.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Central Michigan offense ranks 66th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Ball State defense ranks 129th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest Central Michigan edges: rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, passing explosiveness. The Ball State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• The Ball State offense ranks 78th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.09); the Central Michigan defense ranks 115th (+0.21 allowed). Biggest Ball State edges: line yards per carry, stuff rate, second-level yards per carry. The Central Michigan defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Central Michigan −2.7 (89th toughest), Ball State −3.5 (94th toughest).