Buffalo at Akron: Week 13 preview

Buffalo (6-3) visits Akron (1-8) on Fri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Buffalo -12.0 (118th), Akron -25.1 (135th). SP+ projects Buffalo by 10.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Buffalo offense ranks 101st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.04); the Akron defense ranks 128th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest Buffalo edges: rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Akron defense holds the edge in passing success rate, passing-downs success rate, success rate.
The Akron offense ranks 114th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.00); the Buffalo defense ranks 81st (+0.14 allowed). Biggest Akron edges: power success rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry. The Buffalo defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, passing-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Buffalo −4.7 (100th toughest), Akron −5.5 (106th toughest).