Auburn at No. 5 Alabama: Week 13 preview

Auburn (4-4) visits No. 5 Alabama (6-2) on Sat, Nov 28 · TBD. The line is Alabama −10 with a total of 52.5.
SP+ power ratings: Auburn 6.5 (51st), Alabama 20.9 (7th). SP+ projects Alabama by 16.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Auburn offense ranks 72nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Alabama defense ranks 18th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Auburn edges: explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Alabama defense holds the edge in sack rate, standard-downs success rate, success rate.
The Alabama offense ranks 12th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the Auburn defense ranks 72nd (+0.11 allowed). Biggest Alabama edges: passing success rate, success rate, rushing success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Auburn +10.8 (7th toughest), Alabama +10.5 (9th toughest).