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Washington State at Texas State: Week 12 preview

• Washington State (1-8) visits Texas State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · 6:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Washington State -14.1 (121st), Texas State 1.5 (65th). SP+ projects Texas State by 18.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Washington State offense ranks 133rd in FBS in EPA per play (−0.10); the Texas State defense ranks 111th (+0.20 allowed). The Texas State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
• The Texas State offense ranks 23rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.22); the Washington State defense ranks 94th (+0.16 allowed). Biggest Texas State edges: passing-downs success rate, sack rate, EPA per rush. The Washington State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Washington State +4.6 (45th toughest), Texas State +1.1 (63rd toughest).