Western Kentucky at Liberty: Week 12 preview

Western Kentucky (3-5) visits Liberty (7-1) on Sat, Nov 21 · 1:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Western Kentucky -11.5 (115th), Liberty 7.5 (45th). SP+ projects Liberty by 21.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Western Kentucky offense ranks 125th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Liberty defense ranks 9th (−0.06 allowed). The Liberty defense holds the edge in passing success rate, success rate, EPA per play.
The Liberty offense ranks 8th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.30); the Western Kentucky defense ranks 106th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Liberty edges: EPA per rush, passing explosiveness, EPA per play.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Western Kentucky −1.7 (82nd toughest), Liberty −10.1 (135th toughest).