Virginia Tech at No. 1 Miami: Week 12 preview

Virginia Tech (6-2) visits No. 1 Miami (8-0) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD. The line is Miami −16.5 with a total of 56.5.
SP+ power ratings: Virginia Tech 9.0 (38th), Miami 24.7 (5th). SP+ projects Miami by 18.2, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Virginia Tech offense ranks 45th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Miami defense ranks 75th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Virginia Tech edges: passing-downs success rate, EPA per pass, passing success rate. The Miami defense holds the edge in EPA per rush, line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry.
The Miami offense ranks 1st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.40); the Virginia Tech defense ranks 73rd (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Miami edges: EPA per pass, EPA per play, explosiveness. The Virginia Tech defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Virginia Tech −2.1 (87th toughest), Miami +1.0 (66th toughest).