Early Downs College › Week 12

UTSA at UAB: Week 12 preview

• UTSA (7-1) visits UAB (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: UTSA 3.5 (59th), UAB -10.4 (110th). SP+ projects UTSA by 11.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UTSA offense ranks 30th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the UAB defense ranks 30th (+0.03 allowed). Biggest UTSA edges: rushing success rate, standard-downs success rate, line yards per carry. The UAB defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness, EPA per pass.
• The UAB offense ranks 120th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.01); the UTSA defense ranks 91st (+0.15 allowed). Biggest UAB edges: passing explosiveness. The UTSA defense holds the edge in passing success rate, standard-downs success rate, success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UTSA −1.2 (80th toughest), UAB −1.9 (83rd toughest).