Early Downs College › Week 12

Utah State at Oregon State: Week 12 preview

• Utah State (3-5) visits Oregon State (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · 10:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Utah State -9.2 (105th), Oregon State 6.6 (50th). SP+ projects Oregon State by 18.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Utah State offense ranks 105th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the Oregon State defense ranks 80th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Utah State edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate. The Oregon State defense holds the edge in power success rate, standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate.
• The Oregon State offense ranks 20th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.24); the Utah State defense ranks 36th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Oregon State edges: power success rate, sack rate, standard-downs success rate. The Utah State defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Utah State +1.1 (65th toughest), Oregon State −3.0 (90th toughest).