Early Downs College › Week 12

South Florida at Florida Atlantic: Week 12 preview

• South Florida (6-2) visits Florida Atlantic (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: South Florida 2.2 (63rd), Florida Atlantic -3.4 (90th). SP+ projects South Florida by 3.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The South Florida offense ranks 103rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.04); the Florida Atlantic defense ranks 127th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest South Florida edges: power success rate, standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate.
• The Florida Atlantic offense ranks 32nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the South Florida defense ranks 16th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Florida Atlantic edges: passing-downs success rate. The South Florida defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): South Florida −8.7 (132nd toughest), Florida Atlantic −5.3 (104th toughest).