Early Downs College › Week 12

South Alabama at Southern Miss: Week 12 preview

• South Alabama (4-4) visits Southern Miss (3-5) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: South Alabama -11.5 (115th), Southern Miss -16.0 (126th). SP+ projects South Alabama by 2.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The South Alabama offense ranks 40th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Southern Miss defense ranks 97th (+0.16 allowed). Biggest South Alabama edges: EPA per rush, stuff rate, line yards per carry.
• The Southern Miss offense ranks 124th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the South Alabama defense ranks 126th (+0.27 allowed). Biggest Southern Miss edges: rushing explosiveness, standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate. The South Alabama defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): South Alabama −6.2 (114th toughest), Southern Miss −6.0 (111th toughest).