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North Texas at Tulane: Week 12 preview

• North Texas (6-2) visits Tulane (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: North Texas -0.6 (72nd), Tulane -8.2 (101st). SP+ projects North Texas by 5.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The North Texas offense ranks 5th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the Tulane defense ranks 71st (+0.11 allowed). Biggest North Texas edges: rushing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry, passing-downs success rate. The Tulane defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• The Tulane offense ranks 70th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the North Texas defense ranks 98th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest Tulane edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, power success rate. The North Texas defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): North Texas −1.3 (81st toughest), Tulane −3.2 (92nd toughest).