Early Downs College › Week 12

New Mexico at Wyoming: Week 12 preview

• New Mexico (7-1) visits Wyoming (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · 9:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: New Mexico 9.3 (36th), Wyoming -7.3 (98th). SP+ projects New Mexico by 14.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The New Mexico offense ranks 80th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.09); the Wyoming defense ranks 101st (+0.17 allowed). Biggest New Mexico edges: power success rate, second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush. The Wyoming defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, sack rate, explosiveness.
• The Wyoming offense ranks 59th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the New Mexico defense ranks 2nd (−0.16 allowed). The New Mexico defense holds the edge in EPA per pass, sack rate, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): New Mexico −8.1 (128th toughest), Wyoming −9.1 (133rd toughest).