Early Downs College › Week 12

UNLV at San José State: Week 12 preview

• UNLV (5-3) visits San José State (4-5) on Sat, Nov 21 · 7:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: UNLV -2.2 (82nd), San José State -11.3 (114th). SP+ projects UNLV by 6.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UNLV offense ranks 65th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the San José State defense ranks 38th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest UNLV edges: second-level yards per carry, stuff rate, power success rate. The San José State defense holds the edge in sack rate, passing-downs success rate, explosiveness.
• The San José State offense ranks 104th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.04); the UNLV defense ranks 56th (+0.08 allowed). The UNLV defense holds the edge in passing success rate, success rate, passing-downs success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UNLV −6.8 (119th toughest), San José State −4.1 (97th toughest).