No. 6 Kentucky at No. 18 Missouri: Week 12 preview

No. 6 Kentucky (7-1) visits No. 18 Missouri (6-2) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Kentucky 10.6 (31st), Missouri 14.2 (18th). SP+ projects Missouri by 6.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Kentucky offense ranks 43rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Missouri defense ranks 23rd (+0.00 allowed). The Missouri defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry.
The Missouri offense ranks 51st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Kentucky defense ranks 39th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Missouri edges: passing success rate, sack rate, passing-downs success rate. The Kentucky defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, power success rate, standard-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Kentucky +9.2 (13th toughest), Missouri +4.8 (43rd toughest).