Early Downs College › Week 12

No. 8 UCLA at Michigan: Week 12 preview

• No. 8 UCLA (8-0) visits Michigan (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: UCLA 14.4 (17th), Michigan 11.5 (27th). SP+ projects UCLA by 0.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UCLA offense ranks 44th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Michigan defense ranks 4th (−0.08 allowed). The Michigan defense holds the edge in explosiveness, rushing explosiveness, passing success rate.
• The Michigan offense ranks 83rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.08); the UCLA defense ranks 1st (−0.21 allowed). Biggest Michigan edges: power success rate. The UCLA defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UCLA +0.1 (72nd toughest), Michigan +3.5 (53rd toughest).