No. 15 Texas Tech at Baylor: Week 12 preview

No. 15 Texas Tech (7-1) visits Baylor (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Texas Tech 18.4 (9th), Baylor 8.5 (43rd). SP+ projects Texas Tech by 7.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Texas Tech offense ranks 58th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Baylor defense ranks 8th (−0.06 allowed). Biggest Texas Tech edges: second-level yards per carry. The Baylor defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness, power success rate.
The Baylor offense ranks 79th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.09); the Texas Tech defense ranks 22nd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest Baylor edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Texas Tech defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Texas Tech +3.2 (55th toughest), Baylor +2.5 (59th toughest).