Syracuse at Boston College: Week 12 preview

Syracuse (4-4) visits Boston College (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Syracuse -2.8 (87th), Boston College -1.5 (78th). SP+ projects Boston College by 3.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Syracuse offense ranks 106th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the Boston College defense ranks 47th (+0.06 allowed). The Boston College defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, EPA per play, second-level yards per carry.
The Boston College offense ranks 93rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Syracuse defense ranks 86th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Boston College edges: second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate, standard-downs success rate. The Syracuse defense holds the edge in stuff rate, sack rate, passing-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Syracuse +5.1 (41st toughest), Boston College +5.4 (37th toughest).