Early Downs College › Week 12

San Diego State at No. 25 Boise State: Week 12 preview

• San Diego State (4-5) visits No. 25 Boise State (7-1) on Sat, Nov 21 · 9:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: San Diego State -8.6 (104th), Boise State 10.9 (29th). SP+ projects Boise State by 22.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The San Diego State offense ranks 109th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Boise State defense ranks 45th (+0.06 allowed). Biggest San Diego State edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Boise State defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, success rate, EPA per pass.
• The Boise State offense ranks 6th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the San Diego State defense ranks 85th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Boise State edges: power success rate, stuff rate, passing-downs success rate. The San Diego State defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): San Diego State +1.9 (61st toughest), Boise State +0.3 (69th toughest).