Early Downs College › Week 12

Rutgers at Penn State: Week 12 preview

• Rutgers (2-6) visits Penn State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Rutgers -4.9 (95th), Penn State 9.3 (36th). SP+ projects Penn State by 16.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Rutgers offense ranks 94th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Penn State defense ranks 48th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Rutgers edges: explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Penn State defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, passing success rate, EPA per pass.
• The Penn State offense ranks 57th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Rutgers defense ranks 135th (+0.31 allowed). Biggest Penn State edges: EPA per pass, power success rate, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Rutgers +7.0 (29th toughest), Penn State +2.2 (60th toughest).