Early Downs College › Week 12

No. 23 Oregon at Michigan State: Week 12 preview

• No. 23 Oregon (5-3) visits Michigan State (2-6) on Fri, Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Oregon 17.0 (12th), Michigan State -3.0 (88th). SP+ projects Oregon by 17.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Oregon offense ranks 96th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Michigan State defense ranks 100th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest Oregon edges: passing explosiveness, sack rate. The Michigan State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush.
• The Michigan State offense ranks 126th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Oregon defense ranks 42nd (+0.05 allowed). The Oregon defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, EPA per play, EPA per pass.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oregon +12.5 (2nd toughest), Michigan State +8.9 (15th toughest).