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Oklahoma State at Arizona State: Week 12 preview

• Oklahoma State (5-3) visits Arizona State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Oklahoma State 12.4 (23rd), Arizona State 2.3 (62nd). SP+ projects Oklahoma State by 7.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Oklahoma State offense ranks 33rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Arizona State defense ranks 50th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Oklahoma State edges: sack rate, passing success rate, standard-downs success rate. The Arizona State defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
• The Arizona State offense ranks 127th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Oklahoma State defense ranks 92nd (+0.16 allowed). The Oklahoma State defense holds the edge in power success rate, sack rate, EPA per rush.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oklahoma State +3.9 (50th toughest), Arizona State +7.9 (22nd toughest).