Miami (OH) at Kent State: Week 12 preview

Miami (OH) (5-4) visits Kent State (3-6) on Tue, Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Miami (OH) -4.2 (92nd), Kent State -21.3 (132nd). SP+ projects Miami (OH) by 14.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Miami (OH) offense ranks 71st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Kent State defense ranks 89th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Miami (OH) edges: second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry, passing explosiveness. The Kent State defense holds the edge in sack rate.
The Kent State offense ranks 135th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.11); the Miami (OH) defense ranks 77th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Kent State edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Miami (OH) defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Miami (OH) −8.5 (131st toughest), Kent State −4.6 (99th toughest).