Early Downs College › Week 12

Memphis at Navy: Week 12 preview

• Memphis (7-2) visits Navy (2-6) on Sat, Nov 21 · 12:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Memphis 7.0 (46th), Navy -1.6 (80th). SP+ projects Memphis by 6.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Memphis offense ranks 24th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.21); the Navy defense ranks 120th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest Memphis edges: EPA per pass, passing success rate, EPA per play.
• The Navy offense ranks 48th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Memphis defense ranks 60th (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Navy edges: passing explosiveness, stuff rate, line yards per carry. The Memphis defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, sack rate, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Memphis −5.7 (108th toughest), Navy +1.6 (62nd toughest).