Maryland at No. 20 USC: Week 12 preview

Maryland (2-6) visits No. 20 USC (7-2) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Maryland -2.1 (81st), USC 14.2 (18th). SP+ projects USC by 18.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Maryland offense ranks 111th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the USC defense ranks 76th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Maryland edges: sack rate. The USC defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate.
The USC offense ranks 17th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the Maryland defense ranks 119th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest USC edges: passing success rate, passing-downs success rate, success rate. The Maryland defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Maryland +10.0 (11th toughest), USC +6.7 (31st toughest).