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Georgia State at Marshall: Week 12 preview

• Georgia State (4-4) visits Marshall (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Georgia State -9.2 (105th), Marshall -10.7 (111th). SP+ projects Marshall by 1.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Georgia State offense ranks 47th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Marshall defense ranks 99th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest Georgia State edges: passing explosiveness, sack rate, line yards per carry.
• The Marshall offense ranks 74th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.10); the Georgia State defense ranks 68th (+0.11 allowed). Biggest Marshall edges: power success rate, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate. The Georgia State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, passing-downs success rate, sack rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Georgia State −8.0 (127th toughest), Marshall −6.9 (122nd toughest).