Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan: Week 12 preview

Eastern Michigan (4-6) visits Western Michigan (6-3) on Tue, Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Eastern Michigan -14.6 (123rd), Western Michigan -2.7 (86th). SP+ projects Western Michigan by 14.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Eastern Michigan offense ranks 121st in FBS in EPA per play (−0.02); the Western Michigan defense ranks 65th (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Eastern Michigan edges: stuff rate. The Western Michigan defense holds the edge in explosiveness, standard-downs success rate, EPA per play.
The Western Michigan offense ranks 85th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Eastern Michigan defense ranks 102nd (+0.18 allowed). Biggest Western Michigan edges: passing success rate, power success rate. The Eastern Michigan defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Eastern Michigan −9.7 (134th toughest), Western Michigan −7.2 (124th toughest).