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East Carolina at Army: Week 12 preview

• East Carolina (4-4) visits Army (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · 12:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: East Carolina -4.0 (91st), Army 1.0 (66th). SP+ projects Army by 7.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The East Carolina offense ranks 119th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the Army defense ranks 134th (+0.30 allowed). Biggest East Carolina edges: stuff rate, line yards per carry, sack rate.
• The Army offense ranks 15th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the East Carolina defense ranks 41st (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Army edges: EPA per rush, rushing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate. The East Carolina defense holds the edge in explosiveness, EPA per pass, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): East Carolina −3.4 (93rd toughest), Army −2.1 (86th toughest).