Early Downs College › Week 12

Colorado State at Fresno State: Week 12 preview

• Colorado State (3-5) visits Fresno State (5-3) on Sat, Nov 21 · 7:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Colorado State -8.4 (103rd), Fresno State 2.6 (61st). SP+ projects Fresno State by 13.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Colorado State offense ranks 21st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.23); the Fresno State defense ranks 33rd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Colorado State edges: power success rate, sack rate, rushing success rate.
• The Fresno State offense ranks 68th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Colorado State defense ranks 138th (+0.40 allowed). Biggest Fresno State edges: EPA per pass, passing success rate, passing-downs success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Colorado State +0.5 (68th toughest), Fresno State −5.7 (107th toughest).