Clemson at Duke: Week 12 preview

Clemson (5-3) visits Duke (6-2) on Fri, Nov 20 · 7:30 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Clemson 4.7 (55th), Duke 6.8 (47th). SP+ projects Duke by 4.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Clemson offense ranks 128th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.04); the Duke defense ranks 27th (+0.01 allowed). The Duke defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, sack rate, passing-downs success rate.
The Duke offense ranks 26th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.21); the Clemson defense ranks 32nd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Duke edges: second-level yards per carry, passing-downs success rate, EPA per rush. The Clemson defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, power success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Clemson +7.9 (24th toughest), Duke −0.8 (78th toughest).