Early Downs College › Week 12

Bowling Green at Toledo: Week 12 preview

• Bowling Green (2-7) visits Toledo (7-2) on Fri, Nov 20 · 7:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Bowling Green -18.2 (130th), Toledo 2.0 (64th). SP+ projects Toledo by 22.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Bowling Green offense ranks 112th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Toledo defense ranks 19th (−0.01 allowed). The Toledo defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, EPA per play, passing-downs success rate.
• The Toledo offense ranks 37th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.18); the Bowling Green defense ranks 90th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Toledo edges: line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry, success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Bowling Green −6.5 (116th toughest), Toledo −12.2 (137th toughest).