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Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech: Week 12 preview

• Arkansas State (4-4) visits Louisiana Tech (6-2) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Arkansas State -7.0 (97th), Louisiana Tech -2.6 (84th). SP+ projects Louisiana Tech by 6.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Arkansas State offense ranks 50th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Louisiana Tech defense ranks 28th (+0.02 allowed). The Louisiana Tech defense holds the edge in stuff rate, power success rate, sack rate.
• The Louisiana Tech offense ranks 62nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.13); the Arkansas State defense ranks 107th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Louisiana Tech edges: EPA per pass, passing success rate, rushing explosiveness. The Arkansas State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Arkansas State −4.9 (102nd toughest), Louisiana Tech −2.2 (88th toughest).